Stop Overcomplicating Trading (Here's the Fix)
0:11
大家好,歡迎回到這個視頻。
how's it going everyone and welcome back to another video in this
0:14
在這個視頻中,我們將討論如何保持簡單,但
video we are going to talk about keeping it simple but
0:17
讓我們談談如何在分形模型中保持簡單。首先,我們將從日線圖開始,因為如果我們在日內交易,我們就在那根日線的範圍內,並希望有一個日間偏向。
let's talk about how to keep it simple within the fractal model so the first thing we're going to start with is a daily chart because if we are trading intraday we are inside that daily candle and want to have a daily bias.
0:29
那麼我們首先要尋找什麼呢?我們將專注於一根蠟燭的收盤。
So what are we looking for first? We're going to focus on a candle to closure.
0:34
一根蠟燭的收盤是指一根蠟燭突破其前一根蠟燭並重新收在該水平之上或之下。
So a candle to closure is when a candle sweeps out its previous and closes back above that level or below that level.
0:40
我有一個專門的視頻來講解這個。不過,對於日線圖上的蠟燭收盤,我將轉到小時圖,確保我有小時的交付狀態變化。
And I have a dedicated video on that. But with a candle to closure on the daily chart, I'm going to go down to the hourly chart and make sure I have an hourly change in the state of delivery.
0:50
這將是我確認這根影線已形成的依據。
And that'll be my confirmation that this wick has formed.
0:53
所以在滿足這兩個條件後,我將尋找交易第三根蠟燭的機會。那麼也可以交易第四根蠟燭嗎?
So with both of those met, I'm going to look to trade candle three. Now is it also possible to trade candle four?
1:00
是的,但這個視頻的主題是保持簡單。
Yes, but the name of this video is keeping it simple.
1:04
我們只會專注於在所有時間框架上交易第三根蠟燭。
We are only going to focus on trading candle three on all time frames.
1:08
現在我們有了一個日間偏向或我們將要交易的日子,我們將轉到較低的時間框架。
So now that we have a daily bias or the days we are going to be trading, we're going to go down to a lower time frame.
1:15
在這裡,你可以選擇使用四小時圖或小時圖。
And this is where you have the decision to use the four hour or the hourly chart.
1:19
在四小時圖上,你將尋找第二根蠟燭的收盤。這裡不需要一個關鍵點。
With the four hour chart, you're going to be looking for a candle two closure. You do not need a point of interest here.
1:26
現在在小時圖上,你需要一個關鍵點,並且需要第二根蠟燭的收盤。
Now with an hourly chart, you do need a point of interest and you do need a candle two closure.
1:31
在第二根蠟燭收盤後,我們將轉到較低的時間框架。
Now following that candle two closure, we're going to go down to the lower time frame.
1:36
如果你在四小時圖上,你將轉到15分鐘圖;如果在小時圖上,你將轉到五分鐘圖,
So if you're on the four hour, you'd go to the 15 on the hourly, you'd go to the five minute,
1:41
我們將做同樣的事情,交易第三根蠟燭。你會看到我們如何在多個不同的時間框架上以相同的方向交易第三根蠟燭或延續蠟燭,這時擴張可能會發生。
and we're going to be doing the same thing, trading candle three. So you see how we're trading candle 3 or the continuation candle on multiple different timeframes in the same direction, that is when expansion can occur.
1:52
在小時圖或四小時圖上跟隨第二根蠟燭的收盤後,我們將查看對齊的時間框架,確保我們有交付狀態的變化。
So following a candle 2 closure on the hourly or 4 hour, we will look at that aligned timeframe and make sure we have a change in the state of delivery.
2:00
有了這種交付狀態的變化,我們就能在那個較低的時間框架上尋找第三根蠟燭的進場點。
With that change in the state of delivery, we are then able to look for entries in candle 3 on that lower timeframe.
2:06
我們將如何做到這一點?我們將讓影線形成,然後交易實體。那麼我們在尋找什麼呢?一個延續。
How are we going to do that? We're going to let the wick form and then trade the body. So what are we looking for? A continuation.
2:13
在這裡,你可以看到這是我們進入一個關鍵點或公平價值缺口的地方,形成一個延續。
Here you can see this is where we reach into a point of interest or into that fair value gap, form a continuation.
2:18
這就是我們可以進入這筆交易的地方。如果你注意到,我們正在使用較高時間框架的第三根蠟燭,較低時間框架的第三根蠟燭,
That's where we can get on side with this trade. If you notice, we're using a higher time frame candle three, lower time frame candle three,
2:26
以及在該方向上的保護性波動。隨著我們讓這個繼續進行,這就是你獲得擴張交易的地方,因為我們可以尋找日線蠟燭的擴張。
and a protected swing in that direction. And as we let this continue on, this is where you get expansion trades as we can look for the daily candle to expand.
2:35
所以讓我們進入交易視圖,看看這方面的一些例子。這是我們的第一個例子。
So let's get into trading view and go over a few examples of this. So here we are in our first example.
2:41
我們在瑞士法郎期貨圖上。我們有什麼?
We are on the Swiss franc futures chart. And what do we have?
2:45
我指標旁邊的日線圖和這裡的時線圖。
The daily chart on the side via my indicator and the hourly chart here.
2:49
現在,我們的日線圖上有一根K線要收盤嗎?
Now, do we have a candle to closure on the daily?
2:53
好吧,價格在這裡掃過了之前的蠟燭,然後又回到它之上收盤。所以我們的日線圖上確實有一根蠟燭要收盤。
Well, price swept out its previous candle here and then closed back above it. So we do have a candle to closure on the daily.
3:01
現在我們必須確認。我們的交付狀態有變化嗎?
Now we have to confirm. Do we have a change in the state of delivery?
3:04
我找到低點,找到那一系列的蠟燭。
I find the low, find the series of candles
3:07
那根蠟燭的低點我們是否收盤在其上方?是的,我們收盤了。
that made that low did we close over it yes we did
3:10
現在你可能會問,這些是相等的低點,我是否
now you might be asking these are equal lows do i
3:13
真的想要從那裡交易,如果我們在這個區域交易價格。
really want to trade away from that if we were trading price in this area
3:16
在這裡我不太想交易,因為價格很
here i wouldn't really want to trade that because price is
3:20
接近,並且可能在走之前就掃過它,但
pretty close and could just sweep it out before going but
3:23
因為價格顯示得如此遙遠,並且價格正在上升。
because price displays so far away and price is closing up
3:26
在這裡,開盤價格和這個低點之間有很大的分隔。
here there's a lot of separation between the opening price
3:30
所以這對我來說並不困擾,從那些相等的低點交易。
and this low so it doesn't really bother me
3:33
遠離那裡的平等低點進行交易,因為價格是
trading away from those equal lows down there because price is
3:36
現在離他們如此遙遠,如果我們繼續前進,
so far away from them now if we go ahead and
3:39
轉到四小時圖表,因為我們的所有標準在日線和小時線上都已滿足,我們在尋找另一個波段點,因為我們的目標是在多個時間框架上交易第三根蠟燭。
go to the four hour chart because all of our criteria is met on the daily and hourly what are we looking for another swing point because our goal is to trade candle three on multiple time frames.
3:51
所以讓另一根蠟燭形成,我們有興趣的點嗎?有。所以我們不需要在四小時圖上有興趣的點,但這是有幫助的。
So letting another candle form, do we have a point of interest? Yes. So we don't need a point of interest on the four hour, but it is helpful.
3:58
我們有第二根蠟燭的收盤。所以我們要尋找什麼?
We have a candle two closure. So what are we going to look for?
4:02
我們將下到15分鐘的時間框架,看看那裡的交付狀態是否有變化。
We're going to go down to the 15 minute time frame and see if we have a change in the state of delivery inside there.
4:07
所以繼續,轉到15分鐘的時間框架。
So go ahead, go down to the 15 minute time frame.
4:11
我們將在這裡放大,讓這個過程進行,看看交付狀態是否有變化。
We'll zoom in here and let this play out and see if we have a change in the state of delivery.
4:16
所以在這裡我們還沒有交付狀態的變化。我們剛剛形成了那個。那為什麼直到至少第三根蠟燭開始之前它才形成?
So here we don't have a change in the state of delivery yet. We just formed that. Now why didn't that form until at least start at candle three?
4:23
好吧,我們發現了一系列向下關閉的蠟燭。價格還沒有超過它。
Well, we find the series of down closed candles. Price hadn't closed over it yet.
4:27
但現在它已經超過了,我們可以預期這個低點應該支撐四小時的第二根蠟燭低點,我們希望看到這個向上擴展。
But now that it has, we can anticipate that this low should hold the candle too low in the four hour, and we'd want to see this expand higher.
4:36
那麼我們想看到什麼?我們想看到一個持續進入的信號。所以我們在尋找什麼?
Now what do we want to see? We want to see a continuation entry. So what are we looking for?
4:42
價格達到公平價值缺口,我們在這裡做到了。這些期貨圖表有點波動,但這沒關係。
price to reach into a fair value gap, which we do here. Now on these futures charts, they're a little bit choppy, but that's fine.
4:49
然後我們想看到這個水平的收盤,以形成延續。
Then we want to see a close through this level here to form a continuation.
4:55
讓我們看看下一根蠟燭能否做到。它可以。
Let's see if the next candle can do that. It can.
4:58
所以現在我可以在這裡進場,把我的止損設在那個新的保護低點。那是什麼?
So now I could take an entry here, put my stop on that new protected low. And what is that?
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