Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump)
0:00
有些人稱之為願景。對我來說,願景是一個非常重要的詞,因為我相信,首先,願景是重要的。
Some people call it vision. Vision is an awfully big word to me because I believe, first of all, vision matters.
0:09
我們提前播放了每週的節目,只有三個人值得我們這樣做。
We preempted the weekly show and there's only three people we preempt the show for.
0:15
特朗普總統、耶穌和詹森。全球第一的播客。那是詹森·黃。
President Trump, Jesus and Jensen. The number one podcast in the world. That's Jensen Wong.
0:21
他是NVIDIA的創始人、總裁和首席執行官。無論你是否知道,他的決策正在塑造你的未來。
He's the founder, president, CEO of NVIDIA. Whether you know it or not, his decisions are shaping your future.
0:26
NVIDIA是這個市場上最重要的股票,而詹森可以說是歷史上最優秀的高管。
NVIDIA is the most important stock in this market, and Genesis is arguably the best executive in history.
0:31
收入同比增長了97%。不僅需求已經強勁,實際上還在加速。
Revenue exploded 97% year over year. Not only is demand already strong, it's actually accelerating.
0:37
NVIDIA是唯一一個完整堆棧的AI工廠計算平台。
NVIDIA is the only computing platform that is a full-stack AI factory.
0:42
GPU就像一台時光機,因為它讓你更早看到未來。
A GPU is like a time machine because it lets you see the future sooner.
0:46
如果我們能看到未來並預測未來,那麼我們就有更好的機會讓未來成為最佳版本。
And if we could see the future and we can predict the future, then we have a better chance of making that future the best version of it.
0:55
請歡迎黃仁勳。
Please welcome Jensen Huang.
1:01
哦,我們在進來的時候有一個攤位。哦,來吧。攤位要進來了。
Oh, we got a stand to go on the way in. Oh, come on. Stand to go. Stand to go on the way in.
1:10
那是我們的人。女士們先生們,GPU耶穌。
That's our guy. Ladies and gentlemen, GPU Jesus.
1:19
他們愛你。他們愛你。謝謝。我也愛你。世界上第一個播客。在全世界。哇。
They love you. They love you. Thank you. I love you back. Number one podcast in the world. In the world. Wow.
1:27
我們喜歡這件新外套。好吧,你知道的。你拍賣了舊的嗎?我覺得你們需要一些能量。是的。
We like the new jacket. Well, you know. You auctioned the old one? I felt you guys needed some energy. Yes.
1:34
我知道我們在談論一些嚴肅的事情,但我們需要用能量來談論它。是的。
I know we're talking about serious stuff here, but we need to talk about it with energy. Yes.
1:39
讓我們從這個週末的文章開始。哪一篇?
Let's start with this essay from this weekend. Which one?
1:46
讓我們從達里奧的文章開始。海明威參與了嗎?其實,有人把它通過Pangram了嗎?
Let's start with Dario's essay. Was Hemingway involved? Actually, did anybody run it through Pangram?
1:52
我甚至不知道有多少是AI幫助的,但那是一件非常不可思議的事情。
I don't even know how much of it was AI helped, but that was a pretty incredible thing.
1:58
然後我認為很多人驚訝的是,前沿實驗室圍繞這篇文章的凝聚。
And then I think what a lot of people were surprised by was the coalescing of the Frontier Labs around the essay itself.
2:04
詹森,請解釋一下發生了什麼,你是如何閱讀它的,如何解釋它的,然後我們會進入一些細節。
Just, Jensen, unpack what happened, how you read it, how you interpreted it, and then we'll get into some details that were inside of it.
2:12
但也許先從高層次的想法開始。首先,裡面有很多東西。是的。是的。
But maybe just high-level thoughts to kick it off. Well, first of all, there were a lot of stuff in there. Yeah. Yeah.
2:16
而且首先,有一部分是關於安全的,我們必須非常認真對待。
And and first, there is a there's a part about about safety, which we have to take very seriously.
2:23
安全顯然是最重要的。安全和領導力不是虛假的選擇。
Safety is paramount, obviously. Safety and leadership are not false.
2:30
它們是虛假的選擇。你能快速創新。你能快速執行。
They're false choices. You're you're able to innovate quickly. You're able to execute quickly.
2:35
而美國能夠領導並安全地做到這一點。我認為這些都是虛假的選擇。
And America's able to lead and to do it safely. I think those are those are false choices.
2:41
但安全顯然很重要。我認為這涉及到內部控制的問題。
But safety is obviously important. There's a matter of internal control that I think he was speaking to.
2:49
顯然,Coxson的舉報者是一個非常嚴重的問題。每當有舉報者時,你必須非常認真對待。
Obviously, the Coxson whistleblower is a very serious matter. Whenever you have a whistleblower, you have to take it very seriously.
2:56
我認為Coxson有很大的勇氣提出他的擔憂。
I thought Coxson had great courage to put out what his concerns were.
3:04
即便如此,仍然有一些問題在其中有些混淆。我認為舉報是可以的。
And even then, there were some issues that were kind of conflated within that. I think the whistleblowing is fine.
3:11
我認為對未來的科學預測不太好,因為顯然它不是基於科學。
I think the scientific prediction about the future is less fine because it's not grounded on science, obviously.
3:21
而且這是由一位科學家表達的,但顯然它不是基於科學。因此我對此有意見。
And it was expressed by a scientist, but it was obviously not grounded on science. And so I take issue with that.
3:27
但顯然舉報者的部分,你知道,我認為這裡有很多東西。
But obviously the whistleblower part of it, you know, I think there's just a whole bunch of stuff.
3:33
暫停、步伐,這些都是他們可以自願做的事情。
Pausing, pacing, those are all the voluntary things that they could do.
3:40
如果他們覺得他們的公司失控。如果Coxon看到了什麼,顯然我們不知道Coxon看到了什麼,
if they feel that their company is out of control. If Coxon saw something, obviously we don't know what Coxon saw,
3:48
但如果他看到公司失控的話,
but if he saw that the company was out of control
3:52
也許這是從研究到工程的轉變。
and maybe it's a transition from research to engineering.
3:58
如你所知,這些實驗室正在從研究轉向工程。非凡的人才,非凡的工程。
As you know, these labs are transitioning from research to engineering. Extraordinary talent, extraordinary engineering.
4:05
但顯然工程與研究是不同的。也許這個轉變是笨拙的。
But obviously engineering is different than research. Maybe that transition is clumsy.
4:09
我們不知道他看到了什麼,最終只有他自己知道。
we don't know what he saw and ultimately only he knows
4:13
但如果有失控的問題,那就是另一個話題。
but if there was a matter of lack of control that's a different topic
4:17
政府應該如何處理這個問題,突然之間的監管,我的意思是它在一個博客中涵蓋了一切。
how should the government deal with it now all of a sudden regulation I mean it just covers everything in one blog
4:24
你能幫我們理清一下嗎?我們其實這週在播客上試著玩這個遊戲,但很困難,你怎麼描述
can you just help us sort of unpack we tried to play this game actually this week on the pod and it was difficult how do you describe
4:31
我媽媽打電話給我,她說這整個文明死亡的事情是什麼,我不知道怎麼向她解釋。
my mom calls me and she's like what is this whole civilizational death thing I don't know how to explain it to her
4:38
所以當你有這麼聰明的人來量化和量化它時,我認為這可能讓一些人感到不安。
So when you have very smart people like that quantize it and quantify it, I think that's probably what's perturbing to some people.
4:45
他們會問,這意味著什麼,10%的滅絕?沒有人知道怎麼向普通人解釋,這是怎麼可能的。
They're like, what does that mean, 10% of extinction? Nobody knows how to explain that to the average person, how that's even possible.
4:53
首先,我們不應該這樣,因為這是虛構的。
Well, first of all, we shouldn't because it's made up.
4:57
首先,我認為我們不應該這樣,因為這是虛構的。
First of all, I think that we shouldn't because it's made up.
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