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John Waldron, Goldman Sachs President & COO: Rooting for the English Majors

0:12
你好,歡迎來到 Inside Blackstone,
Hello, and welcome to Inside Blackstone,
0:15
我們將來自各公司的數據和見解整合在一起,為您提供
where we bring together data and insights from across our companies to offer you
0:19
對當前真實經濟狀況的更全面了解。
a fuller picture of what's happening in the real economy right now.
0:23
我是 Christine Anderson,全球企業事務負責人,
I'm Christine Anderson, Global Head of Corporate Affairs,
0:26
接下來是節目安排。
and here's the lineup.
0:27
在週一
In the Monday
0:28
早會上,我們有 Amit Dixit,黑石集團亞洲私募股權負責人,
Morning Meeting, we have Amit Dixit, Blackstone's Head of Asia Private Equity,
0:32
來談談亞洲正在進行的實體 AI 建設,
to talk about the physical AI buildout happening across Asia,
0:35
包括目前最引人注目的發展之一,類人機器人。
including one of the most fascinating developments right now, humanoid robots.
0:40
接下來是與 Winfield Sickles 的經濟天氣報告,
Then it's the Economic Weather Report with Winfield Sickles,
0:43
隨後是主要活動,我與高盛的對話,
followed by the main event, my conversation with Goldman Sachs
0:46
總裁兼首席運營官 John Waldron,談談 AI 如何重塑銀行業。
President and COO, John Waldron, on how AI is reshaping banking.
0:51
最後,我們將與我們的全球私募股權負責人 Joe Baratta 進行簡報。
And finally, the debrief with our Global Head of Private Equity, Joe Baratta.
0:55
現在,交給 Amit。
Now, over to Amit.
1:02
幾天前,
A few days ago,
1:03
我們為機構投資者舉辦了一個特別活動,
we hosted a special event for our institutional investors,
1:07
代表著 39 萬億美元的資產,一些最具智慧的投資者
representing $39 trillion in assets, some of the most sophisticated investors
1:11
在世界上。
in the world.
1:13
我覺得最有趣的演講之一來自我的同事,
One of the presentations I found most fascinating was from my colleague
1:16
Amit Dixit,他負責我們的亞洲私募股權業務,並在公司工作了
Amit Dixit, who oversees our Asia private equity business and has been at the firm
1:20
將近二十年。
nearly two decades.
1:22
Amit 進行了一個關於亞洲正在發生的所有變化的演講,
Amit had a presentation on all of the shifts taking place in Asia
1:25
以及這如何創造巨大的投資機會。
right now and how that's creating massive investment opportunities.
1:28
由於 Amit 在紐約,
Since Amit was in New York,
1:29
我想邀請他上節目分享重點。
I thought I'd bring him on the show to share the highlights.
1:31
阿米特,很高興你能來。很高興在這裡。
Amit, great to have you with us. Great to be here.
1:34
好吧,告訴我你的演講亮點。
All right, hit me with the highlights on your presentation.
1:36
主要的主題是什麼?
What were the major themes?
1:38
亞洲有三個重大變革。
There are three big disruptions in Asia.
1:42
第一,實體人工智慧。第二,能源
One, physical AI. Two, energy
1:47
安全。第三,國防,無人機。
security. And three, defense, drones.
1:51
那麼,先談談實體人工智慧。
So, take physical AI for me for a second.
1:53
為什麼亞洲是這個故事的中心?
Why is Asia at the center of the story?
1:55
我給你一個數據點。
I'll give you a data point.
1:56
印度的數據中心總容量約為一吉瓦。
The total data center capacity in India is about one gigawatt.
2:01
換句話說,這比美國的一個城市還少。
To put that in perspective, that's less than one city in America.
2:05
這比菲尼克斯或芝加哥的城市還少。
That's less than the city of Phoenix or Chicago.
2:07
印度有8.5億人年齡在35歲以下。
India has 850 million people below 35 years of age.
2:13
主要消費者,
Major consumers,
2:14
Instagram、WhatsApp的最大用戶,世界第一,對吧?
largest users of Instagram, of WhatsApp, of use, number one in the world, right?
2:19
在黑石集團,我們擁有最大的數據中心公司AirTrunk。數據中心
At Blackstone, we own the largest data center company, AirTrunk. And data center
2:24
的建設,我會說,正在印度開始,
buildout is, I would say, starting in India,
2:28
在發達的亞洲,如澳大利亞,已經相當先進,
it's already quite advanced in developed Asia, like Australia,
2:33
但這方面的潛力是巨大的。
but the potential for that is enormous.
2:37
你一直在說這仍然是未被充分開發的。
You've been saying it's still underpenetrated.
2:39
因為,你看看自駕車,
Because, you look at autonomous vehicles,
2:42
你看看無人機,看看數據中心。
you look drones, you at look data centers.
2:46
一切都需要實體組件,而這些實體組件,
Everything requires physical components and those physical components,
2:52
猜猜看?
guess what?
2:53
來自亞洲。
Come from Asia.
2:54
你提到的其中一件事
One of the things you spoke about
2:55
是機器人產業和亞洲的情況。
was the robotics industry and what's happening in Asia.
2:58
你看到什麼?
What are you seeing?
2:59
在2026年上半年,
In the first half of 2026,
3:03
97%的類人機器人
97% of humanoid robots
3:07
是在亞洲生產的。
were produced in Asia.
3:10
80% 的材料清單
80% of the bill of materials
3:13
在全球任何機器人應用中,80% 的成本,
of any robotic application globally, 80% of the cost,
3:19
材料清單來自亞洲。
the bill of materials, comes from Asia.
3:21
哇。所以,我們將在亞洲看到一個重大的機器人故事
Wow. So, we're going to see a major robotics story
3:23
發展,我想是這樣。絕對如此。
play out across Asia, I presume. Absolutely.
3:25
所以,你提到的另一個主題是防禦。
So, one of the other themes you mentioned was defense.
3:28
跟我談談目前的動態。
Talk to me a little bit about what's happening right now in the dynamics.
3:31
首先是烏克蘭的戰爭,然後現在是中東,
The war first in Ukraine, then now in the Middle East,
3:35
已經喚醒了所有政府
has woken up all governments
3:39
因為這些無人機,
because these drones,
3:42
相對便宜,卻非常有效。
which are relatively cheap, are so effective.
3:46
想想看。
Think about it.
3:47
你是日本政府。
You are the government of Japan.
3:49
你花 5000 萬美元買一架飛機,
You buy an aircraft for $50 million,
3:53
或者你花 5 萬美元買一千架無人機。
or you buy a thousand drones for $50,000.
3:56
對。
Right.
3:57
每個政府都在做這個決定。而且
Every government is making that decision. And
4:01
這在印度也在發生?
this is playing out in India?
4:02
這在印度也在發生。
It's playing out in India.
4:03
總之
In all
4:03
亞洲呢?這在日本上演。這在韓國上演。到處都是,
of Asia? It's playing out in Japan. It's playing out in Korea. Everywhere,
4:06
答案當然是。一千架無人機,
the answer is, of course. A thousand drones,
4:10
對吧?
right?
4:10
但這方面的投資不足。
But, it has been underinvested.
4:13
所以這是個重大的頓悟
So that's been the big aha
4:16
就像政府說讓我們在這個領域投資的那一刻
like the aw-shucks moment for the government saying let's invest in this area
4:20
而這正在創造巨大的機會。
and that's creating a huge opportunity.
4:21
謝謝你
Well, thank you
4:22
非常感謝你分享重點並加入我們的《黑石內幕》。
so much for sharing the highlights and joining us on Inside Blackstone.
4:25
謝謝,克里斯汀。很享受。
Thanks, Christine. Enjoyed it.
4:27
現在把時間交給溫菲爾德·西克爾斯,帶來經濟天氣報告。
And now it's over to Winfield Sickles with the Economic Weather Report.
4:34
今天我們將以問答的方式進行,溫菲爾德。
We're gonna do it Q&A style today, Winfield.
4:36
期待著,克里斯汀。
Looking forward to it, Christine.
4:38
好吧,我們先從美聯儲開始。他們上週開會。
All right, let's start with the Fed. They met last week.
4:40
利率上升的重大消息,正如預期的那樣。
Big news with rates moving higher, as expected.
4:43
投資者應該從中獲得的關鍵信息是什麼?
What's the key thing investors should be taking away from that?
4:45
所以,他們將利率提高了25個基點。
So, they hiked rates by 25 basis points.
4:48
這已經很好地反映在市場中,
That was well priced into the market,
4:49
但我們對這次會議感到非常興奮,原因有兩個。
but we're pretty excited about this meeting for two reasons.
4:52
第一,凱文·沃什似乎真的找到了自己的立足點。
Number one, Kevin Warsh seemed to really find his feet.
4:56
他在講台上很自信,
He was confident at the podium,
4:57
而且這是一個一致的決定:12比0。
and it was a unanimous decision: 12 to 0.

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