House prices plunge as property downturn spreads | The Business | ABC NEWS
0:02
第二、第三、最后一次机会，580出局。
Second, third, final chance, uno finished and out at 580.
0:10
房地产市场正在遭受重创。只有少数潜在买家出现在墨尔本北部的这处房产竞标中。
The housing market is taking a hammering. Just a handful of potential buyers turned out to bid on this home in Melbourne's north.
0:18
这栋三卧室的联排别墅在拍卖中未能成交。市场就是市场。
The three bedroom townhouse passed in at auction. The market will be the market.
0:22
另一个迹象表明，房地产低迷没有停止的迹象。我们可以看到生物活性特别低。
Another sign the housing slump is showing no signs of stopping. We can see that bioactivity is particularly low.
0:30
去年，我们平均看到大约四人参加开放日。
So last year we were seeing on average around four people attending open homes.
0:35
今年大约只有两人。
This year it's sitting at around two people.
0:38
全国范围内，8月份房价下降了0.9%，是今年最大的月度跌幅，但在12个月内仍略有上升。
Around the country, house values fell 0.9% in August, the biggest monthly drop this year, but still up slightly over a 12 month period.
0:47
澳大利亚中位数房屋现在价值912,000美元。
The median Australian home is now worth $912,000. thousand dollars.
0:51
悉尼的房价跌幅最大，下降了1.4%，其次是墨尔本和堪培拉。
Sydney had the biggest fall in value, dropping 1.4%, followed by Melbourne and Canberra.
0:58
即使是那些迄今为止避免下滑的地区，房价也出现了下跌。
Even the regions, which had so far avoided the decline, saw a dip in values.
1:02
达尔文是唯一一个逆势而上的城市，房价上涨了0.6%。这标志着价格已经连续下降五个月。
Darwin was the only city to buck the trend, with values rising 0.6%. This marks the fifth month that prices have fallen.
1:09
信心水平迅速消失。
The confidence levels have really evaporated quite quickly.
1:13
消费者方面非常悲观，很多人怀疑现在是否是购房的好时机，这真的让许多买家保持观望。
So deeply pessimistic on the consumer side, lots of doubt that now is a good time to make a home purchase, and that's really keeping a lot of buyers on the sidelines.
1:22
市场在2026年已经经历了重大动荡。
The market has already undergone significant upheaval in 2026.
1:26
资本利得税的变化影响了投资者对房产的需求。我们经历了三次加息。
Capital gains tax changes impacting investor demand for properties. We've had three interest rate increases.
1:33
我们在中东发生了冲突。消费者信心创下历史低点，商业信心也非常低。
We've had conflict in the Middle East. We've had consumer sentiment hitting record low, very low business sentiment.
1:41
但在某些市场，还有更多变化即将到来。在维多利亚州，他们即将对低报价进行重大打击。
But in some markets there are more changes to come. In Victoria they're about to launch a major crackdown on underquoting.
1:48
我认为这绝对是目前市场中的一个问题。我对十月份有关保留定价的新立法感到非常兴奋。
I think it is definitely a problem in the market at the moment. I think we're very excited for the October new legislation around the reserve pricing.
1:56
这将为市场带来更多透明度。低报价是指房地产经纪人以远低于可能销售金额的价格来宣传房产。
It's going to bring a lot more transparency to the market. Underquoting is when real estate agents market a property for a price significantly lower than the likely sale amount.
2:05
批评者表示，这会误导潜在买家，并人为地产生兴趣以推高价格。
Critics say it misleads potential buyers and artificially generates interest to push up prices.
2:11
虽然这可能会让一些卖家感到不安，但顽固的通胀数字也使得再次加息成为可能。
While that may put some sellers off, stubborn inflation numbers have also put another interest rate hike back on the table.
2:18
随着春天的到来，我们在等待关于利率前景的更大确定性。
As we head into spring, we are waiting for greater certainty around the interest rate outlook.
2:23
经济学家认为，我们尚未看到加息对价格的全面影响。
Economists arguing we're yet to see the full impact of interest rate hikes on prices.
2:29
通常，利率需要大约6到12个月。
Normally, interest rates take about 6 to 12 months.
2:33
因此，可能到年底时，您将看到全面影响。
So probably by the end of the year, you will have had the full impact.
2:39
尽管前景黯淡，房地产经纪人对市场的转机持乐观态度。我觉得市场现在肯定开始自我修正并开始稳定。
Despite the gloom, real estate agents are optimistic the market will turn a corner. I feel like the market's definitely starting to correct itself now and starting to stabilise.
2:45
所以我认为目前买家的信心很强，并且在春季之前只会变得更加火热。
So I think there's a lot of buyer confidence at the moment and it's only going to get even hotter towards spring. Tucked away for privacy.
2:52
现在的问题是，储备银行是否会在九月份的会议上通过加息进一步冷却春季的活动。
The question now is whether the Reserve Bank will further cool activity in spring with a rate rise at its September meeting.
3:02
谢谢。
Thank you.
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