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Watch Me LIVE Backtest My Trading Strategy for 30 Days (Full Process)

0:00
我在交易的最初幾年完全被隨機的概念淹沒,跳來跳去不同的策略,只希望能有什麼有效。
I spent the first years of my trading completely overwhelmed by random concepts and jumping from different strategies, just hoping that something would work.
0:07
但直到我開發了我的系統,這是我過去五年一直在交易的系統,我才真正找到了交易的一致性。
But it wasn't until I developed my system, the same one that I've been trading for the past five years, that I actually found consistency in my trading.
0:15
所以在這裡你將看到我實時回測我的系統。你將看到每一筆交易的始末,每一個決策及其原因。
So here you'll watch me live backtest my system. You'll see every single trade from start to finish, every decision I make and why I'm making it.
0:23
我會帶你走過每一步的整個思考過程。
And I'll walk you through the entire thought process through each step.
0:26
這樣你就能理解邏輯,並以你看到我每週在現貨市場進行這些交易的方式來應用它。
All so that you can understand the logic and apply it for yourself in the same way that you see me taking these trades every single week in the live market.
0:33
所以我們就用這個來獲得一個隨機的開始日期。我會請它給我一個從2022年初到2024年末的隨機星期一。
So we'll just use this to get a random start date. I'm going to ask it to give me a random Monday from the beginning of 2022 to the end of 2024.
0:47
這可能是一個不錯的時間範圍。好的,2024年4月22日,這將是我們回測會話的開始日期。
That's probably a good range of time. All right, so April 22nd, 2024, that's going to be our start date for the backtesting session.
0:54
這裡我們已經設置好了會話。賬戶餘額,我保持在100,000的默認值。
Here we have the session all set up. The account balance, I kept it at the default of 100,000.
0:59
然後是資產ES、Q和YM,這是我在現貨市場99%的時間裡交易的。
Then with the assets ES and Q and YM, that's what I'm trading 99% of the time in the live market.
1:04
所以沒有理由移出這個範圍。我想專注於這些交易對。然後我們的初始日期是2024年4月22日。
So no reason to move outside of that. I want to focus on these pairs here. And then we have our initial date at 4-22-2024.
1:12
我沒有設定具體的結束日期,因為我真的只是想逐日逐筆進行。
And I don't have a specific end date set because I'm really just going to take this day by day and trade by trade.
1:17
我不想因為在這個視頻中強迫進行大量交易而犧牲解釋我思考過程的質量。
I don't want to sacrifice the quality of explaining my thought process by trying to force in a lot of trades in this one video.
1:23
我會慢慢來,無論我們最終得到什麼,
I'm just going to take my time with it and whatever we end up with at the end of the time
1:27
我在這個視頻中給出的就是我們的結果,所以我們可以開始。
I'm giving for this video is what we'll have so with that we can go
1:30
好吧,我們已經加載完畢,
ahead and create the session alright so we're all loaded in the
1:34
我想指出的一件事是,為了讓這對你們更容易,我這裡設置了三個圖表,我會在它們之間切換。
only thing that I want to point out to make this easier for you all is that
1:37
你可以看到我左邊有ES,中間是Q,
I have three charts set up here and I'm gonna switch in between them
1:40
右邊是YM,你會注意到我主要專注於ES和NQ。
but you can see I have ES on the left and Q
1:43
在整個過程中,YM通常會保持在一旁,有時會用來框架,經常用於背離。
in the middle and YM on the right you'll notice that I'm
1:46
主要集中在 ES 和 NQ 上,整個過程中 YM 通常會保持在一旁,有時會進入框架,經常用於背離。
mainly focused on ES and NQ throughout this whole thing YM usually stays off to the side sometimes it'll come in for framework using it for divergences a lot
1:55
進場的時間通常在 9:30 附近,但
of the times it'll be around 9 30 for entries but
1:58
跟隨我現在的解釋,現在這些都說完了,我們就直接跳進去。
majority of focus is going to remain here and you guys will be able to
2:01
我已經立即看到一些東西,開始得很好。
follow along with what i'm explaining now with that out of the way we'll just jump
2:04
在星期一開始,我選擇這樣做是有原因的,因為這正是我
right into this and i'm already immediately seeing something it's good that we started
2:08
在一個星期一,我選擇那是有原因的,因為那真的是我
on a monday and i chose that for a reason because that's really where i
2:11
我從星期一開始我的一週,這是我選擇的原因,因為這真的是我
start my week with a specific process and this is a good
2:14
一個具體過程的開始,這是一個很好的例子,在這裡我們有一個前一週的收盤價,根據擴張規則,如果我們專注於NQ,在前一週的極端位置有一天的擴張,兩天和三天。
example here where we have a previous week close in an expansion rule if we focus on nq here we have one expansion day two and three into the previous week close at the extremes.
2:26
然後我們預期市場要麼反轉回到區間內,要麼在區間內整合。
And then we expect the market to either reverse return back into the range or consolidate in range.
2:32
所以這裡的星期一是我會讓它顯示的,因為我想要那額外的上下文。
So Monday here is something I'd let print either way because I want that additional context.
2:37
那麼星期一在這裡做了什麼,這讓我假設星期二應該做什麼?星期二實際上是我開始交易的地方。
So what does Monday do here and what does that lead me into assuming that Tuesday should do? And Tuesday is really where I'm going to start my trading.
2:44
我肯定總是偏向於持續性。我在YM上看到了這個框架,但在ES上也是如此,上個星期五的低點有一個較大的影子,然後我們從中擴張上升。
I'm definitely always partial to the continuation. I'm seeing this framework on YM, but also ES as well, where that previous Friday had that larger wick off the low and then we expanded higher away from it.
2:55
所以我們可能有一個星期一的低點,持續向上,星期二也可以只是這一移動的延續。
So we potentially have a Monday low, a continuation away, and Tuesday can just be a continuation of that move as well.
3:02
我真正看到的唯一對立反應是前一天的高點,這是其自身相關的波動。
The only opposing reaction that I'm really seeing is this previous day high, which is its own relevant swing.
3:09
我們在這裡有那個影子。所以我把這個作為次要考量。
We have that wick here. So I'm keeping that as a secondary thought.
3:13
這總是有可能,因為我們在市場上也有一些背離,但最終還是偏向於
It's always possible because we do have some divergences in the market as well, but ultimately leaning
3:19
持續性,我想看到日常輪廓的發展。
towards continuation and i'd want to see the daily profile development
3:22
在這裡,我也會把這個
just alongside this here i'm also just going to throw on the
3:25
從收盤價到的無效點放上去。
invalidation point from the closing price to the
3:28
對立的影子就在這裡,所以如果我們最終
opposing wick right here so if we do end up
3:31
發展出牛市,我想看到它與此相關。
developing bullish i want to see it in respect to that go
3:34
到七小時,讓這開始顯示,這樣18
to the seven hour and just allow this to start printing so that 18
3:37
點燭一點鐘的燭光進入擴張。
candle one o'clock candle coming in expansion
3:40
所以18點燭光低點不在那一點鐘的燭光中交易。
away so 18 candle low not trading in that one o'clock candle
3:44
如果我們是牛市,這有助於提供上下文的其中一個原因。
if we're bullish one thing that this does help with context
3:47
這就是為什麼發展如此重要,我知道我們
which is why development is so important is i know we
3:51
開始無效化那個影子。
are starting to invalidate the wick
3:54
我們有那個對立的擔憂,我們開始擴張通過
that we had that opposing concern with we're starting to expand through
3:57
它並對齊牛市輪廓,所以立刻這
it and aligning a bullish profile so immediately this
4:00
開始看起來不錯,我們再加把勁
is starting to look good let's get even
4:03
更多的推動,現在我們有這些失敗的波動上升到前一天的高點,我們已經無效化了那根影線,特別是當你考慮到 nq 的時候,如果我們是看跌的,我們會希望看到那個被尊重。
more of a push and now we have these failure swings up into the previous day high we've invalidated that wick especially when you think about nq here if we were bearish we would have wanted to see that respected.
4:14
我們已經突破了它。18的反轉在這個輪廓中。現在這裡是我希望看到持續發展到紐約的地方。
We've traded through it. 18 reversal in the profile. Now this here is where I want to see continued development into New York.
4:20
我會在倫敦會議內設置一個無效點。如果我們要看漲,那麼我們應該看到價格在這裡受到尊重。
I'd set an invalidation point inside of that London session. If we are going to get bullish, then we should see price respect here.
4:27
開始轉向我的中間時間框架。需要在這裡打開八點的蠟燭。
Start dropping to my intermediate timeframes. Need that eight o'clock candle open right here.
4:31
而且這實際上看起來非常好。我會放慢速度,因為我們已經有一個潛在的進場點。
And already this is actually looking very good. I'm going to slow this down because we already have a potential entry on this.
4:39
我們在這30分鐘、兩分鐘、一分鐘的地方有一個收盤。好吧。
We get a closure on this 30 minute, two minutes, one minute right here. Okay.
4:43
這將是一個進場點,因為30分鐘我看到深度回到我們的無效點,從這裡的低點出現背離,通過有效的對立蠟燭收盤。
This is going to be an entry because 30 minute I'm seeing deep run back into our invalidation point divergence off the lows here, closure through valid opposing candles.
4:55
所以我立刻想到我們已經無效了任何對下行的擔憂。我們已經對齊了18的反轉輪廓。
So immediately I'm thinking we've invalidated any concern for the downside. We've aligned an 18 reversal profile.

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