Daily Bias That Actually Works (Using Only Highs and Lows)
0:00
每一筆高品質的交易都始於較高時間框架的框架。
Every single high-quality trade starts with framework off of the higher timeframes.
0:05
而這並不是你需要知道許多概念才能正確理解的事情。你只需要知道高點和低點。
And this is not something that you need to know many concepts to get right. All you need to know are highs and lows.
0:12
但問題仍然是我實際上應該關注哪些高點和低點?這就是相關波動的概念發揮作用的地方。
But the question still remains of which highs and lows do I actually focus on? And this is where the idea of relevant swings comes into play.
0:19
這是我系統的絕對基礎,並包含在我每一筆交易中。
This is something that is the absolute foundation of my system and is included in every single trade that I place.
0:26
它告訴我市場是否有機會,機會存在於何處,以及我應該專注於市場的哪一側,同時完全消除所有不必要的噪音。
It tells me if there's opportunity in the market, where the opportunity exists, and which side of the market I should be focused on while completely removing all the unnecessary noise.
0:37
直接進入這個主題,首先要了解相關波動的實際目標。
Getting right into this, it's first important to understand the actual goal of relevant swings.
0:43
這個想法是我們想要消除識別某些高點和低點的猜測、不確定性和模糊性,這是大多數交易者通常的方法。
The idea is that we want to remove the guesswork, the doubt, the ambiguity from identifying certain highs and lows from the normal way that most traders would approach this.
0:52
我們將專注於相對於當前市場存在的極端高點和低點。
We're going to be focusing on the highs and lows that exist at the extremes relative to the current market.
0:57
這樣做的結果是,當某個東西處於極端時,市場參與其中,我們毫無疑問地知道那裡發生的事情是有意義的。
And what that does is that when something is at the extremes and the market engages it, we know without a doubt that what happens there is meaningful.
1:06
而你將了解我們如何使用一個非常簡單的三步驟過程來識別它們,以及在這些點上我們尋找的簡單反應,這些反應給我們未來的偏見。
And you're going to get to that understanding of how we identify them using a very simple three-step process, but also the simple reactions that we look for at these points that give us a bias going forward.
1:18
大多數交易者在試圖識別高點和低點時面臨的問題是,它們分佈在不同的時間框架上。
The problem most traders face when trying to identify highs and lows is that they are all over different time frames.
1:25
他們試圖標記出交易時段的高點和低點,以及在所有這些不同時間中開盤價格上下的高點和低點。
They're trying to mark out session highs and lows, highs and lows above and below opening prices around all these different times.
1:32
這些都是增加混淆的因素。它們增加了懷疑。而且在我們應該尋找什麼方面沒有確定性。
These are things that add confusion. They add doubt. And there's no certainty in the sense of what we should be looking for.
1:40
我們將通過做幾件簡單的事情來完全消除這些噪音。首先,我們希望專注於正確的時間框架。
We are going to be completely removing that noise by doing a few simple things. First, we want to be focusing on the right time frames.
1:47
我們將僅使用日線圖來識別相關波動。
We are only going to be using the daily chart for identifying relevant swings.
1:52
正如你在這裡看到的,你可以選擇低於四小時和一小時的選項,但那會給你太多細節。
And as you can see here, you have the option to go below where there's the four hour and the one hour, but that gives you too much detail.
2:00
當我們從日線轉到周線或月線時,這在價格上細節太少。
When we go above the daily to the weekly or the monthly, that is too little detail in price.
2:06
日線在日內交易中達到了這個甜蜜點,我們在同一天內進出市場,持有幾分鐘到幾小時的交易,進出自如。
The daily hits this sweet spot for intraday trading where we are going in and out of the market within the same day, holding trades for a few minutes to a few hours, getting in and out.
2:16
這是我們希望專注的地方,因為它給了我們足夠的
This is where we want to be focused on because it gives us enough
2:19
細節以便在偏見上保持靈活,但又不會給我們太多的價格細節,以至於我們同時看到太多事情,無法真正識別出重要的區域。
detail to be fluid in bias, but also not giving us so much detail in price that we are seeing too many things at once and we're not actually able to identify the areas that matter.
2:31
在相反的光譜中,周線和月線的時間框架太高,無法看到當前的發展,調整偏見,逐日進行,這真的不是你想在日內交易中專注的東西。
And on the opposite spectrum, the weekly and monthly, it is too high of a time frame to see the current development, to adjust a bias, to go day by day, and it's really not something that you want to be focused on for day trading.
2:43
識別相關波動的第一個也是最重要的概念是了解什麼是失敗波動。
The first and truly most important concept of identifying relevant swings is going to be understanding what a failure swing is.
2:51
失敗波動的概念非常簡單。
The concept of failure swings is extremely simple.
2:54
當我們在市場中設置高點或低點時,形成了一個初始低點。
It's when we set either a high or low in this current example in the market, an initial low is formed.
3:01
隨後,我們會在那個初始低點附近進行深度回撤。
And following that, we make deep runs back into that initial low following that point.
3:06
這些深度回撤被視為失敗的波動。
And these deep runs that get back into that low are considered failure swings.
3:13
原因在於,當我們在市場上創造一個可能反轉的低點時,它不應該深度回撤到那個點。
The reason being is that when we create a low in the market that could be reversed off of, it should not make deep runs back into that point.
3:21
一旦價格反轉,它應該擴展出去,進行淺層回撤。
Once price reverses, it should expand away, make shallow retracements.
3:26
這是擴展或持續的跡象。當我們深度回撤到這裡時,這會使反轉點失效,顯示出市場不想轉向的情況。
That is a sign of an expansion or a continuation. When we make deep runs back down into it, that invalidates that point of reversal and shows that lack of wanting to turn in the market.
3:38
所以每當我們看到這樣形成的初始低點時,
So anytime we see an initial low formed like this
3:41
這裡是形成的第一個低點,然後價格上升,深度回撤到那個低點,然後再次深度回撤到這個低點。
here, that is the first low formed, then we have price come up, retrace deep back into that low, and then again deep back into this low.
3:52
這些深度回撤被視為失敗的波動,這是我們想要關注的市場中的初始低點。
These deep runs back in are considered failure swings, failure swing, and that is the initial low in the market that we want to be focused on.
4:01
這裡是我們認為的低點極限。
This here is what we would consider the extreme of the lows.
4:04
所以這個低點並不是對左側任何其他日低的失敗波動,但我們有這些隨之而來的失敗波動。
So this low is not a failure swing to any other daily low to the left, but we have these failure swings that follow it.
4:12
我們想要尋找形成的初始高點或低點,我們可以在市場的另一側給你一個例子。這裡我們看高點。
We want to look for that initial high or low that was formed, and we can show you an example on the other side of the market. Here we look at the highs.
4:19
我們有這個形成的初始高點,這是當前範圍內的最高高點,然後隨之而來,價格深度回撤到那個高點。
We have this initial high that was formed, the highest high in this current range, and then following that, price made deep runs back into that high.
4:29
深度回撤到它並創造了另一個失敗波動,
deep runs back into it and it created a failure swing another
4:32
失敗波動和那個最終的初始高點。
failure swing and that final initial high
4:35
而且這一點是我們認為的極限,
and again this point is what we would consider the extreme
4:38
這些高點是市場中的重要點,
of highs these are the points in the market that
4:41
我們希望專注於任何被視為
we want to be focused on anything that is considered a
4:45
失敗的波動,這些深度運行並不被考慮,
failure swing these deep runs are not considered and
4:48
對我們來說,記錄它們是無關緊要的,我們只是
they would be irrelevant for us to be noting them out we simply
4:52
將它們排除在我們的視野之外,專注於極端情況。重申一下,任何在這些失敗擺動時的反應,不是極端的高點或低點,都被視為無關緊要。
block them out of our perspective and focus on the extremes just to reiterate that point any reactions that we see at those failure swings, not the extreme highs or lows, is considered irrelevant.
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