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How AI could influence the evolution of humanity

0:00
这是来自《对话》的《对话周刊》。
This is The Conversation Weekly from The Conversation.
0:06
对人工智能主导未来的灾难性想象已成为最人性的消遣。
Catastrophising about an AI-dominated future has become the most human of pastimes.
0:13
几乎我认识的每个人工智能专家都相信它们会超越人类智力。这只是一个时间问题。
Almost everybody I know who's an expert on AI believes that they will exceed human intelligence. It's just a question of when.
0:19
这已成为反复出现的噩梦,人类的终结,不是由疫情、核战争或气候变化引发,而是由机器引发。
It's become the recurring nightmare, the end of humanity, ushered in not by pandemic, nuclear war or climate change, but by the machines.
0:28
更准确地说,是生成性人工智能。我最担心的是,技术和行业会对世界造成重大伤害。
or to be more precise, generative AI. My worst fears are that we that feel the technology, the industry, cause significant harm to the world.
0:39
我认为大家都在关注如果人工智能出现重大问题可能发生的那些大事件。
I think there's a lot of attention on the big spectacular things that could happen if AI goes spectacularly wrong for us.
0:47
但即使事情不朝那个方向发展,即使我们仍然控制着人工智能,
But even if it doesn't go that way, even if we retain control of AI
0:51
而它不会决定失控或将宇宙变成纸夹,或者你所担心的任何情景。
and it doesn't decide to run amok or turn the universe into paperclips or whatever the scenario you're concerned about is,
0:59
这仍然会对我们产生影响,只是日常生活中的影响更加平凡。
it's still going to have effects on us, just much more mundane day-to-day effects.
1:04
这是罗布·布鲁克斯,澳大利亚悉尼新南威尔士大学的进化学教授。
This is Rob Brooks, a professor of evolution at the University of New South Wales in Sydney in Australia.
1:10
他一直在思考人工智能将如何影响人类的未来。
He's been thinking about the way artificial intelligence could influence the future of humanity.
1:15
生成性人工智能和大型语言模型(如ChatGPT)的出现已经为人类创造了一个新的现实。
The arrival of generative AI and large language models such as ChatGPT is already creating a new reality for humanity.
1:25
目前,人们正在实验这些技术,利用它们寻找新的工作和创造方式。
At the moment, people are experimenting with these technologies, using them to find new ways of working and creating.
1:32
但是,如果随着时间的推移,随着我们对人工智能的依赖加深,我们与技术的关系发生变化,变成某种寄生关系呢?
But what if, over time, as we become more reliant on AI, our relationship with the technology shifts and turns into something parasitic?
1:42
在这一集中,我们将探讨人工智能可能对
In this episode, we're exploring what AI could do to
1:45
我们物种的演化、人类智力、我们彼此互动的方式,以及最终对我们传递给未来世代的基因的影响。
the evolution of our species, to human intelligence, to the way we interact with each other, and ultimately, to the genes that we pass down to future generations.
1:56
我是杰玛·韦尔,这是《对话周刊》,由专家解释世界。
I'm Gemma Ware, and this is the Conversation Weekly, the world explained by experts.
2:06
今天我邀请到了西娜·迪恩,澳大利亚《对话》的科学与技术编辑。西娜,欢迎回到节目。
I'm joined for this episode by Signa Dean, science and technology editor for The Conversation in Australia. Signa, welcome back to the show.
2:14
嗨,谢谢你邀请我。那么西娜,今天我们要谈论演化。
Hi, thanks for having me. So Signa, today we're going to talk about evolution.
2:18
当我想到演化时,我总是把它视为发生在过去的事情,经过数千年,
And when I think about evolution, I always think about it as something that happens in the past, over thousands,
2:24
甚至数百万年。这不是我认为会在未来发生的事情,也不是我们将如何进化。
millions of years even. It's not something I think about happening in the future and about how we're going to evolve.
2:31
是的,我认为我们不会把演化视为未来的时态。我认为这很有道理。
Yeah, I think we don't think about evolution in the future tense. And I think that makes sense.
2:37
因为正如你所说,演化是一个长期过程,物种会出现和变化。
Because as you said, evolution, it's a long term process, species emerge and change.
2:42
而且这需要很多很多代,特别是当你考虑到人类的寿命有多长,对吧?
And it takes many, many generations to do so, particularly when you think about how long the human lifespan is, right?
2:47
我认为演化的过程可能在事后理解得最好,当我们看到过去事情的发展时,我们可以衡量并跟踪它。
I think the process of evolution probably is best understood in hindsight, when we see how things played out in the past, we can measure it and kind to track it.
2:57
但我确实认为我们也可以利用这种事后诸葛亮来尝试预测未来。这并不是一件容易的事。
But I do think we can also use that hindsight to try and predict the future. It's just not an easy thing to do.
3:03
变量实在是太多了。也就是说,人们对未来的革命充满好奇。这确实是事实。
There are just so many variables. That said, people are intrigued by the future revolution. That's definitely true.
3:11
我们想知道作为一个物种,我们可能会走向何方。而且推测是很有趣的。
We want to know where we might end up as a species. And it's fun to speculate.
3:15
我想这就是为什么在科幻作品中它是如此常见的主题。没错。
I think that's why it's such a common trope in science fiction as well. Exactly.
3:19
而且有很多研究人员真的在从实际的角度思考我们的未来,基于过去发生的证据。
And there are lots of researchers who are really thinking about our future in practical terms grounded in evidence of what's happened in the past.
3:27
你一直在与其中一位研究人员合作,他就是我们在这一集开头提到的罗布·布鲁克斯。告诉我们关于罗布和他的工作的事。
And you've been working with one of them, the researcher Rob Brooks, who we had at the top of this episode. Tell us about Rob and his work.
3:34
所以,罗布·布鲁克斯是澳大利亚最杰出的进化生物学家之一。他还因其通俗科学写作获得了许多奖项。
So yeah, Rob Brooks is one of the foremost evolutionary biologists in Australia. He's won many awards for his popular science writing as well.
3:41
几年前,他写了一本名为《人工亲密》的书,探讨了现代科技(如约会应用、性爱机器人和人工智能)下的人际关系和性行为。
And a couple of years ago, he wrote a book titled Artificial Intimacy, which explores human relationships and sexual behavior in light of modern tech, such as dating apps, sex robots, AI.
3:52
在我的科学与技术环节中,我们最近从许多不同的角度报道了人工智能的发展、争议和监管。
And in my round, science and technology, we have been covering artificial intelligence lately from just so many different ways, development, controversies, regulation.
4:05
但当罗布给我们发邮件提出他的想法时,这是第一次有人提议将其与进化联系起来。
But when Rob emailed us with his pitch, it was the first time someone proposed to tie it in with evolution.
4:13
他的标题是,是时候考虑人工智能将如何改变人类进化的进程了。
His title was, it's time to think about how AI will alter the course of human evolution.
4:19
我认为这是一个很好的问题。如我之前所说,我们对未来充满好奇。
And I think it's a great question to ask. As I said earlier, we are intrigued by our future.
4:24
现在感觉人工智能无处不在。那么我们是否应该考虑它可能对我们这个物种造成的影响呢?绝对应该。
And right now it does feel like AI is everywhere. So shouldn't we consider what it might do to us as a species? Absolutely.
4:32
我们马上就要听到我和罗布的对话更多内容。但在此之前,你能提醒我们一下吗,西格尼?
And we're going to hear more of the conversation that I have with Rob in a second.
4:35
因为我觉得我们很多人可能需要从学校的生物课中刷新一下记忆。进化到底是如何运作的?当然可以。
But before we do, can you remind us, Signe, because I think a lot of us maybe need a refresh from our biology lessons at school.
4:43
这变得非常复杂,但我会尽量保持简单。所有生物都会随着时间的推移逐渐变化,而进化就是我们对这一过程的称呼。
How does evolution actually work? Yeah, sure. It gets really complex, but I'll try to keep it basic.
4:51
因此,所有生物随着时间的推移逐渐变化,而进化就是我们对这一过程的称呼。
So all living things gradually change over time, and evolution is the name we have for this process.
4:57
这里要记住的关键是,个体之间存在大量的变异和特征,因为我们的基因不断突变,而且通常是随机的。
The key to remember here is that there's lots of variation and traits among individuals because our genes constantly mutate, and often they do so randomly.

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